"A recent study out of Leeds Uni, led by an IPCC lead author, offers a direct warning on the imminence of seminal impacts in Asia. See: "Food Security: Near future projections of the impact of drought in Asia" in the 'reports' section at www.lowcarbonfutures.org.
Quote from the press release:
- Research released today shows that within the next 10 years large parts of Asia can expect increased risk of more severe droughts, which will impact regional and possibly even global food security. On average, across Asia, droughts lasting longer than three months will be more than twice as severe in terms of their soil moisture deficit compared to the 1990-2005 period. This is cause for concern as China and India have the world’s largest populations and are Asia’s largest food producers.
- Dr Lawrence Jackson, a co-author of the report, said: "Our work surprised us when we saw that the threat to food security was so imminent; the increased risk of severe droughts is only 10 years away for China and India. These are the world’s largest populations and food producers; and, as such, this poses a real threat to food security."
This report shows the predictable rise of crop failure and food shortages hitting China, which implies the strong possibility of this generating sufficient civil unrest to impose regime change, and thereby to end the coherence that underpins China's bid for global economic dominance. From this perspective intentionally delaying the mitigation of global warming is merely a covert policy for the climatic destabilization of a rival power.
It might be claimed that US intransigence on climate is only accidentally disrupting China's agriculture, but if so, it is probably the first empire in history to be destabilizing its rival's food supplies by accident.
Yet the costs within the US are escalating rapidly, and with over 70% of the public recognizing AGW - despite the convenient circus of denial - it is only a matter of time before protests gain massive weight. The longer that can be delayed, and when necessary suppressed, the longer the brinkmanship of inaction can be maintained to ensure the crushing of China's attempt to secure global economic dominance."
fascinating if true. also:
"The convenient circus of denial includes denying what environmentalism fundamentally is: a campaign to persuade people to be less selfish. That is, people must be persuaded to place a higher value on minimizing their personal contributions to environmental destruction than they currently place on consuming the short-term benefits to self resulting from said contributions.
Everything environmentalists do is effective only to the extent that such persuasion occurs. We can climb up chimneys, chain ourselves to bulldozers, dump coal in a politician's driveway, etc., and it means nothing unless we have persuaded a significant number of people to consume less. (It might, therefore, be more efficient to try persuading people directly.)...People burn fossil fuels and dump the combustion products in the atmosphere because it buys them immediate comfort, convenience, mobility, and entertainment."
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